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As ameazas ocultas de Rusia

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Durante estes últimos días de marzo, o Kremlin intensificou o apoio aos seus elementos prorrusos en moitas cidades europeas. Mediante estas accións, baixo o pretexto de concentracións e protestas, Rusia está a infiltrar militantes e extremistas no espazo europeo, tentando socavar e desestabilizar a situación.

The almost simultaneous appearance of supporters of Putin’s policy on the streets of European cities is as surprising as the number of these supporters. Apparently, this is the number the Kremlin is able to pay for in the context of a full-scale war with Ukraine and under pressure from sanctions.

The organised pro-Russian rallies in Spain, the Czech Republic, Moldova, and manifestations of support for Moscow’s policy in Switzerland and Poland, according to Putin, should show that Russia has its supporters in many European cities. But, this synchronised manifestation of pro-Russian protests only confirms the Kremlin’s long-standing strategy of illegally funding radical and left-wing movements in Europe.

Como resposta, adoitan opoñerse á unidade europea e presionar por intereses prorrusos nos seus países de orixe. Os axentes de influencia rusos son unha ameaza oculta e perigosa que, por desgraza, se concentra en moitos países europeos. Estes adoitan ser cidadáns comúns que simpatizan con Rusia, emigrantes rusos e representantes de movementos políticos. É esta categoría de europeos a que os servizos de intelixencia rusos ven como un público obxectivo que, posteriormente, contribuirá aos intentos de desestabilizar Europa.

The rally of supporters of the pro-Russian party Shor, held on 12 March in Chisinau, was such an attempt. It was accompanied by anti-government slogans, and this was nothing new to either the Moldovan authorities or Europe. There were attempts to undermine the situation in Moldova in the autumn of 2022, and Russian special services were also behind these attempts, using pro-Russian Moldovan parties for their own purposes. The day before, an incident occurred at the Chisinau airport, during which a Wagner PMC mercenary was detained and returned to the country from which he had come. It is clear that this is also no coincidence because when the Kremlin sends Wagner mercenaries to the EU, it is in effect setting a delayed action “time bomb” to establish a sleeper cell that can subsequently be used to destabilise Europe. So, under the guise of protests, rallies, and various actions, Russia is trying to infiltrate as many of its agents of influence as possible into European countries in order to destabilise the situation.

Putin segue vendo a Occidente como o seu adversario, e quere debilitalo, dividilo e privalo de unidade e forza. O Kremlin ve a agresión híbrida rusa como un elemento importante da estratexia. Por iso as autoridades rusas non só están a planificar, senón que ao parecer xa comezaron a implementar as súas actividades de desestabilización e sabotaxe en varios países europeos, intentando así desviar a atención da guerra de Ucraína e enmascarar os seus propios fracasos na fronte.

The recent pro-Russian rallies in Bilbao, Prague, Chisinau, and the attempts to get a Wagner mercenary into Moldova can be considered part of the same Kremlin scheme. The significant decrease in the number of Wagner’s people in certain African countries – Central African Republic, Mali, and the Democratic Republic of Congo – fits into this scheme. It is known that at least 5,000 Russian mercenaries were in these countries until March 2023. But now their number has decreased by about 10%. Some pundits believe that most of the 500 Russian mercenaries who left Africa have settled in Europe. But while Russian militants are trying to enter Moldova almost openly, without much fear, their way to the EU/NATO countries will be more covert and more careful.

propaganda

Here it is worth recalling how Moscow “planted” its saboteurs in Ukrainian cities on the eve of a full-scale invasion. It is known that some of them had settled in Ukraine 2-3 years before the war. Then everything went according to the Russian playbook: ordinary life in ordinary Ukrainian cities. At the same time, the saboteurs were obtaining key information and making contacts in the circles of their interest. All this was done in order to use this intelligence during the invasion by Russian troops. Only the courageous resistance of Ukrainian soldiers and the complete consolidation of the Ukrainian people in the face of the invading enemy disrupted their plans.

Desde o inicio da invasión rusa e despois do punto de inflexión na guerra ruso-ucraína, Moscova comezou a lanzar aos seus axentes aínda máis intensamente nas frontes política e informativa para xustificar o terror ruso, os crimes de guerra e o xenocidio.

By planning pro-Russian rallies, Moscow wants to send a message to European governments that there are many political forces and citizens in European countries who allegedly support Putin’s policies. In this way, the Kremlin wants to raise certain doubts among the population of these countries about the unity of the West in countering Russian aggression. In addition, in the case of Europe, Putin is pursuing a much more complex strategy, as the saboteurs are Russia’s sympathisers – political parties, leaders, and representatives of business circles who have a vested interest in cooperation with Russia.

Moscova explota as contradicións entre os países europeos, partindo de problemas socioeconómicos e tratando de explicar a súa causa no apoio prestado a Ucraína. Como resultado desta táctica, o lobby contra a guerra en Europa estase a converter sen querelo nun aliado do Kremlin. A diáspora rusa, que está dispersa por moitos países europeos, xoga un papel importante nestes procesos desestabilizadores. Hai moitos rusos en Europa, pero non se converteron en parte do mundo europeo, non aceptan e non comparten os valores e estilos de vida europeos mesmo despois de anos vivindo alí. Por iso seguen sendo un ambiente ideal para que os extremistas planifiquen sabotaxe.

Por exemplo, a diáspora rusa levou a cabo un traballo subversivo en Alemaña para inundar as caixas de correo alemáns con cartas anónimas pedindo un voo urxente desde Alemaña alegando que Estados Unidos estaba a planear un ataque. Esta campaña púxose en marcha ao mesmo tempo que as concentracións prorrusas na UE. Se a este cóctel de actividades subversivas lle engadimos o feito de que os mercenarios de Wagner xa se instalaron en cidades europeas e teñen experiencia de combate e habilidades para cometer ataques terroristas e sabotaxes, a mestura é explosiva. Está claro que Putin lanzou unha nova etapa de agresión híbrida contra Europa ante o trasfondo dos seus fracasos militares e a presión das sancións, nun intento de interromper a consolidación global do apoio a Ucraína.

The Kremlin’s hybrid aggression continues, trying to penetrate further into European space. This is where pro-Russian mercenaries and rallies become dangerous elements that pave the way for the enemy to achieve its dream of splitting and weakening Europe. To prevent this from happening, the threats of covert Russian extremism must be uncovered and neutralised today, because tomorrow may be too late.

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